XerebusX
0xaf5f9e847def287a30a549483123b422d74183ae
- Realised P&L
- $47.13
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 741
- Open portfolio
- $86.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded741
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wild vs. Lightning · Lightning | 0.580 | 0.845 | $7.28 | +$2.28 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9? · No | 0.750 | 0.934 | $6.23 | +$1.23 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 9? · No | 0.770 | 0.902 | $5.86 | +$0.86 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 9? · No | 0.860 | 0.985 | $5.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.055 | $5.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? · No | 0.780 | 0.815 | $5.22 | +$0.22 |
| Flyers vs. Senators · Senators | 0.610 | 0.625 | $5.12 | +$0.12 |
| Sharks vs. Blues · Blues | 0.600 | 0.595 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) · Flames | 0.540 | 0.535 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Sharks vs. Blues · Sharks | 0.410 | 0.405 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| Kings vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.800 | 0.785 | $4.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.705 | $4.90 | −$0.10 |
| Buccaneers vs. Cowboys · Buccaneers | 0.200 | 0.195 | $4.88 | −$0.13 |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.455 | $4.84 | −$0.16 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) · Buccaneers | 0.370 | 0.355 | $4.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.20at 0.073Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko
- +$57.27at 0.084St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$47.01at 0.136Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
- +$24.20at 0.177LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$21.73at 0.322Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 21:53 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on October 9? | BUY | 0.7942057899 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:59 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 9? | BUY | 0.8569999829 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:25 | Wild vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 15:50 | Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 15:19 | Panathinaikos vs. Fenerbahce | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 15:16 | Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 15:03 | Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 14:41 | BC Dubai vs. KK Crvena Zvezda | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 14:19 | Braga: Zsombor Piros vs Elmer Moeller | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 14:04 | Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olimpia Milano | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 13:50 | Flyers vs. Senators | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 13:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 13:35 | Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 9? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 13:15 | Villena: Oliver Tarvet vs Laslo Djere | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 13:14 | Kings vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |