Pavel55
0xaf56ca67d653848b27f75c0d29f7a074537f2be0
- Realised P&L
- $-35.50
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.17at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 18?
- +$18.48at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 19?
- +$17.78at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?
- +$17.52at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 23?
- +$16.96at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 9? | SELL | 0.1652631579 | $9.42 |
| 08-09 12:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 9? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 12:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 9? | SELL | 0.26 | $18.36 |
| 08-09 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 9? | SELL | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 08-09 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9? | SELL | 0.42 | $9.94 |
| 08-09 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-09 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.92 |
| 08-09 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 9? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.26 |
| 08-09 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.82 |
| 08-09 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.34 |
| 08-09 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.3712831807 | $5.32 |
| 08-09 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.92 |
| 08-09 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 9? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.26 |
| 08-09 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.10 |
| 08-09 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.3192873051 | $4.48 |