PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Alden772

0xaf55b911c86a4b14c069ad7b1ca47cd16de929f2

Realised P&L
$-1.60
Volume
$27.4k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$14.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? · No0.9970.999$14.98+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 10:07Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30?BUY0.997$14.96
08-10 08:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 13?BUY0.999$13.99
07-03 04:13Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$8.00
06-22 08:39Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.006$9.66
05-19 04:37Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.006$9.72
05-13 03:33Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.005$9.30
04-25 03:58Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.76
04-23 07:55Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.008$10.08
04-22 08:48Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.009$9.99
04-21 07:59Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.76
04-20 07:02Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.009$9.81
03-23 02:52Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.981$635.69
03-21 02:53Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.982$595.09