PolyBot

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Traders

0xaf4d8dd61f3d0131e90be7d94070d4712617133b

0xaf4d8dd61f3d0131e90be7d94070d4712617133b

Realised P&L
$-25.56
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$1.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.6800.695$1.02+$0.02
Will Israel win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.0540.001$0.03−$2.97
Will Portugal vs. Wales end in a draw? · Yes0.0600.001$0.01−$0.99
Will Wales win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.0600.001$0.01−$0.99
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.0650.001$0.01−$0.99
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.0770.001$0.01−$0.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Up0.1900.001$0.01−$1.99
Will Norway vs. Denmark end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.001$0.00−$1.00
Will Austria vs. Israel end in a draw? · Yes0.4390.001$0.00−$1.50
San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian Gorzny · Sebastian Gorzny0.3600.001$0.00−$1.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.3800.001$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.5600.001$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will RW Oberhausen vs. Schalke 04 end in a draw? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will RW Oberhausen win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 21:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-24 21:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-24 21:07Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSELL0.16$1.07
09-24 21:06Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.1499999925$1.00
09-24 21:05Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-24 21:04Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-24 21:03Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-24 21:02Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-24 21:01Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.8099999352$1.00
09-24 20:58Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.0307692308$1.00
09-24 20:55Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw?SELL0.999$4.00
09-24 20:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.1899999962$2.00
09-24 20:50San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Sebastian GorznyBUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-24 20:43Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?SELL0.99$1.94
09-24 20:30Will Israel win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.0389999995$1.00