ASTROHADES
0xaf4ceb2723e90bd073d27243893d14cd51eed5db
- Realised P&L
- $-38.50
- Volume
- $142.0k
- Markets traded
- 540
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded540
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$258.35at 0.827LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
- +$229.94at 0.564Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
- +$225.79at 0.470Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?
- +$205.87at 0.263LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- +$173.97at 0.742Will Genoa win on 2025-10-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 10:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.68 | $88.40 |
| 10-28 10:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | BUY | 0.989 | $122.64 |
| 10-28 10:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.94 |
| 10-28 10:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.952 | $109.48 |
| 10-25 05:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 10-25 05:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | BUY | 0.36 | $54.00 |
| 10-25 05:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.953 | $142.95 |
| 10-24 02:27 | Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 10-23 09:19 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.62 | $37.20 |
| 10-22 05:02 | Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.974 | $126.62 |
| 10-22 04:57 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 10-22 04:57 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.36 | $30.60 |
| 10-22 04:56 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.34 | $0.17 |
| 10-22 04:54 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $18.60 |
| 10-22 04:52 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.60 |