PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ASTROHADES

0xaf4ceb2723e90bd073d27243893d14cd51eed5db

Realised P&L
$-73.56
Volume
$138.3k
Markets traded
502
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded502
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.2490.775$158.99+$107.86
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.4800.605$113.36+$23.42
Will Karmine Corp Qualify for Worlds 2026? · Yes0.9400.997$99.65+$5.65
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9440.871$80.34$6.74
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-09-20? · No0.7500.745$74.50$0.50
Will LYON Qualify for Worlds 2026? · Yes0.9300.955$57.30+$1.50
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.5100.390$56.94$17.52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9100.935$56.10+$1.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.7500.795$55.65+$3.15
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Yes0.5480.105$55.34$233.40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.8300.880$52.80+$3.00
Will WeiboGaming Qualify for Worlds 2026? · No0.9881.000$48.67+$0.56
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.9200.967$48.33+$2.33
AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: AS Roma O/U 0.5 · Over0.8000.790$47.40$0.60
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18? · No0.7300.725$43.50$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 09:09Will OGC Nice win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.75$75.00
09-17 09:07Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.73$43.80
09-17 09:06AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: AS Roma O/U 0.5BUY0.8$48.00
09-17 09:04Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.7$42.00
09-17 08:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.45$9.90
09-15 05:46Will LOUD Qualify for Worlds 2026?BUY0.47$9.40
09-14 05:32Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.24$24.00
09-14 04:52Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$0.30
09-14 00:49Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?SELL0.028$2.80
09-14 00:40Will Team Vitality make a roster change by December?BUY0.34$6.80
09-14 00:40Will Team Heretics make a roster change by December?BUY0.4$8.00
09-13 08:21Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5BUY0.81$48.60
09-13 08:18Torino FC vs. AS Roma: AS Roma O/U 0.5BUY0.9$27.00
09-13 08:16Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5BUY0.78$46.80
09-13 08:07Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.59$35.40