PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Greatwhale76

0xaf4b39cb576927616886d7badc8fba0fc6a75abe

Realised P&L
$-21.28
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$12.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration76.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.1500.065$12.98$17.02
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$4.94
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$5.00
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$2.00
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-13 14:25Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5899999761$4.94
06-06 19:35Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$2.00
06-04 10:45Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0089999982$5.00
06-04 10:43Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.265$12.53
04-16 19:13Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.2256614918$10.00
04-16 19:09Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.222$9.99
04-16 17:39Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.15025477$30.00
04-16 16:40Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.29$4.03
04-16 16:36Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.2085587645$10.00
04-16 16:09Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.14$26.14
04-16 15:29Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.00
04-15 17:13Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.359999977$5.00
04-15 16:45Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
04-15 14:51Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.1$5.00
04-15 09:03Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.08$3.00