Greatwhale76
0xaf4b39cb576927616886d7badc8fba0fc6a75abe
- Realised P&L
- $-21.28
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $12.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.065 | $12.98 | −$17.02 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.94 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.14at 0.096Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$2.51at 0.225Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$-0.97at 0.360Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$-1.00at 0.014Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 14:25 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5899999761 | $4.94 |
| 06-06 19:35 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 10:45 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0089999982 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 10:43 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.265 | $12.53 |
| 04-16 19:13 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2256614918 | $10.00 |
| 04-16 19:09 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.222 | $9.99 |
| 04-16 17:39 | Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.15025477 | $30.00 |
| 04-16 16:40 | Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.29 | $4.03 |
| 04-16 16:36 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2085587645 | $10.00 |
| 04-16 16:09 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.14 | $26.14 |
| 04-16 15:29 | Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 17:13 | Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 16:45 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 14:51 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 09:03 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |