Razzimil
0xaf49dbf67d25d4b141e135caebabee264ed154ad
- Realised P&L
- $5.52
- Volume
- $137.30
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $6.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.735 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.395 | $1.98 | −$0.03 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.215 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.305 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 19? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.033 | $0.46 | −$3.54 |
| Will FC København win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.29 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-10-19? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.04at 0.622Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
- +$6.62at 0.239Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
- +$-0.08at 0.148Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-0.16at 0.164Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
- +$-0.36at 0.305Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 14:12 | Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-18 17:32 | Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.29 |
| 10-18 17:30 | Will FC København win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 10-18 16:33 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $4.00 |
| 10-18 16:25 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.84 |
| 10-18 16:23 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.2950819575 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 16:17 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 16:11 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.31 |
| 10-18 16:10 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 22:01 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6099999322 | $1.35 |
| 10-17 22:01 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.142 | $0.99 |
| 10-17 21:48 | Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 21:47 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 21:47 | Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 21:47 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |