0xAf4733B629724Ce190E0A0F29A92D39b8a307C3a-1766254978977
0xaf4733b629724ce190e0a0f29a92d39b8a307c3a
- Realised P&L
- $-10.07
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $1.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.053 | $1.92 | −$0.95 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.93at 0.067Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)
- +$-1.00at 0.011Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
- +$-1.00at 0.015Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
- +$-1.00at 0.140Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-20?
- +$-1.00at 0.192TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-16 07:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 01-09 01:49 | Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.87 |
| 01-09 00:20 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 01-09 00:20 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 01-02 21:44 | Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 12-31 13:38 | Will Ryan Seacrest say "Countdown" on New Year's Rockin' Eve? | BUY | 0.0890000084 | $1.00 |
| 12-26 06:54 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 12-25 23:37 | Will Jurassic World Rebirth be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 12-24 04:37 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of December? | BUY | 0.0367417058 | $2.00 |
| 12-24 02:42 | Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.0105769232 | $1.00 |
| 12-24 02:42 | Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 12-22 05:32 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 12-22 05:30 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 12-21 08:45 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 12-21 08:35 | Will Jurassic World Rebirth be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |