PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAf4733B629724Ce190E0A0F29A92D39b8a307C3a-1766254978977

0xaf4733b629724ce190e0a0f29a92d39b8a307c3a

Realised P&L
$-10.07
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$1.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? · Yes0.0800.053$1.92−$0.95
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$2.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-16 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
01-09 01:49Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?BUY0.08$2.87
01-09 00:20Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.08$1.00
01-09 00:20Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$1.00
01-02 21:44Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?BUY0.003$1.00
12-31 13:38Will Ryan Seacrest say "Countdown" on New Year's Rockin' Eve?BUY0.0890000084$1.00
12-26 06:54Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$1.00
12-25 23:37Will Jurassic World Rebirth be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?BUY0.001$1.00
12-24 04:37Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of December?BUY0.0367417058$2.00
12-24 02:42Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?BUY0.0105769232$1.00
12-24 02:42Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?BUY0.004$1.00
12-22 05:32Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?BUY0.004$2.00
12-22 05:30Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?BUY0.004$1.00
12-21 08:45Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?BUY0.003$1.00
12-21 08:35Will Jurassic World Rebirth be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?BUY0.001$1.00