PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Jarkotic

0xaf464ba971cbde060b2b72662e1a5bd530e81d91

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$127.9k
Markets traded
674
Open portfolio
$27.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded674
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 17:57Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 21?SELL0.001$0.04
09-21 16:38Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 21?SELL0.02$0.30
09-21 16:24Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 21?SELL0.03$0.24
09-21 16:21Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 21?SELL0.04$0.20
09-21 15:36Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?SELL0.26$2.60
09-21 15:31Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21?SELL0.04$0.20
09-21 15:24Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21?SELL0.1$0.83
09-21 15:19Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21?SELL0.13$1.30
09-21 15:12Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 21?SELL0.13$0.65
09-21 14:52Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.26$1.30
09-21 14:41Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 21?SELL0.003$0.07
09-21 14:34Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21?SELL0.47$2.35
09-21 14:26Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.25$1.25
09-21 13:49Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21?BUY0.25$2.50
09-21 13:49Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 21?SELL0.12$0.95