JarkoP
0xaf464ba971cbde060b2b72662e1a5bd530e81d91
- Realised P&L
- $679.92
- Volume
- $58.8k
- Markets traded
- 308
- Open portfolio
- $60.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded308
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.90at 0.358Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?
- +$83.37at 0.080Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?
- +$78.51at 0.040Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 21?
- +$77.97at 0.261Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27?
- +$58.49at 0.508Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.078 | $1.56 |
| 08-06 15:42 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.71 | $4.68 |
| 08-06 15:41 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.72 | $12.51 |
| 08-06 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.84 |
| 08-06 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.35 | $16.34 |
| 08-06 14:31 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.54 |
| 08-06 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-05 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.16 |
| 08-05 15:47 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 08-05 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.79 | $14.22 |
| 08-05 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 08-05 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 08-05 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.77 | $6.16 |
| 08-05 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 08-05 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.76 | $5.32 |