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0xaF409E50577BD9cba48378656548A2D28D1a5662-1772377810273

0xaf409e50577bd9cba48378656548a2d28d1a5662

Realised P&L
$941.29
Volume
$58.4k
Markets traded
175
Open portfolio
$10.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded175
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9270.961$3.5k+$124.48
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · No0.9150.966$3.4k+$177.04
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? · No0.9340.945$1.5k+$17.77
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8960.935$579.70+$23.95
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9280.935$372.13+$2.79
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9160.905$272.40$3.31
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9110.956$257.99+$11.91
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9450.953$119.13+$1.03
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9240.953$107.36+$3.19
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.8700.925$92.50+$5.50
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9470.935$87.89$1.13
Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9480.945$71.82$0.20
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026? · No0.8770.860$71.38$1.38
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? · No0.9290.915$67.70$1.06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9340.945$65.20+$0.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 03:27Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?SELL0.88$2.64
07-17 11:30Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.95$4.75
07-16 16:36Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.94$28.20
07-16 16:31Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.92$34.96
07-16 16:27Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.89$13.35
07-15 02:35Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.98$205.80
07-12 15:37Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?BUY0.86$12.90
07-07 15:57Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?BUY0.91$4.55
07-07 15:45Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? BUY0.95$17.10
07-07 15:45Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? BUY0.95$15.20
07-07 15:43Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.95$62.70
07-07 15:41Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.95$55.10
07-07 15:38Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.93$27.90
07-07 15:37Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.93$13.95
07-06 15:51Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.977$134.83
Trader 0xaF409E50577BD9cba48378656548A2D28D1a5662-1772377810273 · PolyBot