0xaF409E50577BD9cba48378656548A2D28D1a5662-1772377810273
0xaf409e50577bd9cba48378656548a2d28d1a5662
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $71.6k
- Markets traded
- 204
- Open portfolio
- $10.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded204
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.31at 0.980Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$22.25at 0.954Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$21.22at 0.989Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$20.53at 0.981Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?
- +$18.85at 0.936Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:39 | Will Kennedy Center demolition be announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 09-18 08:35 | Will Trump nationalize elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $26.97 |
| 09-18 08:24 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 09-18 05:17 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $51.70 |
| 09-18 03:26 | ByteDance IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.905560843 | $53.28 |
| 09-18 01:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $38.10 |
| 09-18 01:10 | Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.982 | $14.73 |
| 09-18 00:50 | ByteDance IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9236410256 | $72.04 |
| 09-17 15:48 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $14.72 |
| 09-17 15:20 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $39.56 |
| 09-17 13:54 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $39.56 |
| 09-17 13:52 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $39.56 |
| 09-15 12:35 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.92 |
| 09-15 12:34 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $87.29 |
| 09-15 12:28 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.992 | $65.47 |