0xaF409E50577BD9cba48378656548A2D28D1a5662-1772377810273
0xaf409e50577bd9cba48378656548a2d28d1a5662
- Realised P&L
- $941.29
- Volume
- $58.4k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $10.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.31at 0.980Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$22.44at 0.954Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$22.02at 0.988Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$20.53at 0.981Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?
- +$19.58at 0.934Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 03:27 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $2.64 |
| 07-17 11:30 | Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 07-16 16:36 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 07-16 16:31 | Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $34.96 |
| 07-16 16:27 | Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.35 |
| 07-15 02:35 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $205.80 |
| 07-12 15:37 | Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $12.90 |
| 07-07 15:57 | Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 07-07 15:45 | Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $17.10 |
| 07-07 15:45 | Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $15.20 |
| 07-07 15:43 | Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $62.70 |
| 07-07 15:41 | Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $55.10 |
| 07-07 15:38 | Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 07-07 15:37 | Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $13.95 |
| 07-06 15:51 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $134.83 |