PolyBot

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Traders

0xaF409E50577BD9cba48378656548A2D28D1a5662-1772377810273

0xaf409e50577bd9cba48378656548a2d28d1a5662

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$71.6k
Markets traded
204
Open portfolio
$10.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded204
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? · No0.9440.969$4.1k+$104.81
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9270.974$1.2k+$59.86
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · No0.9360.966$691.65+$21.16
ByteDance IPO before 2027? · No0.9340.935$647.22+$0.79
Trump out as President by September 30? · No0.9930.996$397.20+$1.00
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9280.973$387.06+$17.72
Rippling IPO before 2027? · No0.9200.973$351.81+$19.03
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · No0.9210.977$347.43+$19.90
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8960.945$328.86+$16.92
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9110.960$194.30+$9.74
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9430.945$185.22+$0.32
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.9891.000$119.94+$1.26
Anduril IPO before 2027? · No0.9300.965$117.04+$4.25
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9920.997$97.65+$0.44
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.8700.955$95.50+$8.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 08:39Will Kennedy Center demolition be announced by September 30?BUY0.92$9.20
09-18 08:35Will Trump nationalize elections?BUY0.93$26.97
09-18 08:24Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?BUY0.94$28.20
09-18 05:17Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?BUY0.94$51.70
09-18 03:26ByteDance IPO before 2027?BUY0.905560843$53.28
09-18 01:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.977$38.10
09-18 01:10Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.982$14.73
09-18 00:50ByteDance IPO before 2027?BUY0.9236410256$72.04
09-17 15:48US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?BUY0.92$14.72
09-17 15:20Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.989$39.56
09-17 13:54Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.989$39.56
09-17 13:52Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.989$39.56
09-15 12:35Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.992$9.92
09-15 12:34Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.992$87.29
09-15 12:28Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?BUY0.992$65.47