0xaf3ee1dcd33b27f7badd7621c74e065cbd87079d
0xaf3ee1dcd33b27f7badd7621c74e065cbd87079d
- Realised P&L
- $-147.92
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 430
- Open portfolio
- $7.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded430
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? · No | 0.144 | 0.089 | $4.84 | −$2.95 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 14? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.195 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 14? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.008 | $0.52 | −$4.48 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 14? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.004 | $0.47 | −$2.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.92at 0.072Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$60.09at 0.210Ethereum Up or Down on February 2?
- +$58.38at 0.245XRP Up or Down on February 1?
- +$38.10at 0.282Ethereum Up or Down on February 4?
- +$36.04at 0.027Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999816 | $2.43 |
| 10-14 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $2.62 |
| 10-14 19:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $2.37 |
| 10-14 19:36 | XRP Up or Down - October 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999957 | $2.58 |
| 10-14 19:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.41 |
| 10-14 19:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 18:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $4.42 |
| 10-14 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999671 | $4.92 |
| 10-14 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.992 | $8.45 |
| 10-14 17:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.1439999979 | $7.79 |
| 10-14 17:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.26 |
| 10-14 17:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999981 | $13.86 |
| 10-14 17:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999734 | $3.97 |
| 10-14 17:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $19.29 |
| 10-14 17:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |