0xKatarina
0xaf3d25cc34bd2d0f7d70ab95b78cad1503ff8080
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $130.5k
- Markets traded
- 755
- Open portfolio
- $10.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded755
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 12.5 · Yes | 0.020 | 0.100 | $4.97 | +$3.98 |
| AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 13.5 · Yes | 0.020 | 0.027 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5 · Yes | 0.020 | 0.026 | $1.32 | +$0.33 |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5 · Yes | 0.020 | 0.021 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| AJ Dybantsa: Assists O/U 2.5 · Yes | 0.015 | 0.011 | $1.05 | −$0.45 |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5 · Yes | 0.020 | 0.013 | $0.63 | −$0.38 |
| AJ Dybantsa: Rebounds O/U 5.5 · Yes | 0.020 | 0.005 | $0.28 | −$0.72 |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5 · Yes | 0.020 | 0.004 | $0.17 | −$0.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 17? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$558.17at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?
- +$164.25at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 28?
- +$140.00at 0.020Honor of Kings: WST vs SYGaming - Game 4 Winner
- +$116.00at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?
- +$93.98at 0.020Honor of Kings: Kuaishou Gaming vs Talent Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:13 | Kaden Wetjen: 2+ Touchdowns | SELL | 0.551 | $16.06 |
| 08-23 15:39 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.1726695 | $34.53 |
| 08-08 20:32 | Spread: AS Nancy-Lorraine (-2.5) | SELL | 0.56 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 21:14 | LoL: Volticons vs Docta Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.0072482644 | $0.26 |
| 08-02 00:41 | Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5) | SELL | 0.6176 | $6.18 |
| 07-07 18:20 | Spread: Colombia (-5.5) | BUY | 0.002 | $1.97 |
| 06-26 16:06 | Will the fight be won by submission? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 06-26 16:06 | UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.26 |
| 06-26 16:05 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | SELL | 0.0126653757 | $0.49 |
| 06-26 16:05 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | SELL | 0.016 | $1.14 |
| 05-26 12:39 | O/U 3.5 Rounds | SELL | 0.24 | $2.16 |
| 05-21 10:30 | NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 05-11 01:34 | UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.3 | $53.33 |
| 05-07 17:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 7? | SELL | 0.2295451375 | $59.25 |
| 05-07 02:07 | NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.0511391201 | $8.60 |