0xaf3c92e8468782BF3461faF8352BD6612316dDd0-1776304850840
0xaf3c92e8468782bf3461faf8352bd6612316ddd0
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $242.8k
- Markets traded
- 3,612
- Open portfolio
- $85.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,612
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.835 | $26.09 | +$16.09 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.675 | $10.71 | +$0.71 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.815 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.855 | $9.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.705 | $9.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.705 | $9.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.725 | $9.67 | −$0.33 |
| Croatia vs. England: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$235.84at 0.092Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$137.59at 0.770Cavaliers vs. Pistons
- +$108.29at 0.635Knicks vs. 76ers
- +$85.35at 0.637Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 1?
- +$66.62at 0.648Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:41 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 21:41 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 21:41 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |