Stonesrftgh
0xaf38e715b4ae7cbf693e92eb6fb1ee42165f5cdc
- Realised P&L
- $-70.32
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $59.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 20? · Yes | 0.996 | 1.000 | $25.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? · No | 0.230 | 0.215 | $22.79 | −$1.59 |
| Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.405 | $11.34 | −$1.26 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.14 |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C · MOUZ | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.20 |
| Will Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.79 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$425.72at 0.5002026 Balance of Power: Other
- +$94.62at 0.500Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$92.13at 0.500Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$89.64at 0.500Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$11.92at 0.726Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 07:55 | Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $12.60 |
| 10-19 06:50 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.998 | $609.44 |
| 10-19 06:50 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.998 | $269.68 |
| 10-19 06:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | SELL | 0.001 | $0.85 |
| 10-19 06:49 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.999 | $322.00 |
| 10-19 06:49 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $213.54 |
| 10-19 06:49 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.999 | $558.00 |
| 10-19 06:48 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $640.60 |
| 10-19 06:48 | Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $30.84 |
| 10-19 06:48 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $855.00 |
| 10-19 06:47 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | SELL | 0.998 | $853.29 |
| 10-19 06:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 20? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.00 |
| 10-19 06:47 | Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $868.26 |
| 10-19 06:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 20? | BUY | 0.9955022399 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 06:46 | Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $900.00 |