laiwang90
0xaf3817bc340ed96483e945c6d5044c8f2c8e0804
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $122.9k
- Markets traded
- 219
- Open portfolio
- $173.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded219
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.655 | $99.24 | −$0.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.875 | $74.15 | +$24.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$741.71at 0.595Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$392.79at 0.633Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$302.59at 0.435Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$278.51at 0.593Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$259.70at 0.442Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.589999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 22:39 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.4203231633 | $474.46 |
| 09-28 18:05 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4429408677 | $500.00 |
| 09-11 12:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $30.00 |
| 09-09 13:31 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.629 | $1.1k |
| 07-29 04:28 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4589999946 | $18.76 |
| 07-29 04:28 | Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Team Comanche (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A | SELL | 0.5 | $1.18 |
| 07-28 04:41 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4609999845 | $10.21 |
| 07-28 01:34 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4609999898 | $21.46 |
| 07-27 19:11 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4619999993 | $69.73 |
| 07-27 13:52 | San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 20:32 | Vancouver: Haruka Kaji vs Taylah Preston | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 20:32 | The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Iryna Shymanovich vs Ankita Raina | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 20:32 | The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |