0xaf320F92F4f039098e52751E53a078d78DE0D9d2-1791809340250
0xaf320f92f4f039098e52751e53a078d78de0d9d2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.36
- Volume
- $117.68
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $0.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 26-November 1? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.002 | $0.08 | −$7.92 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 26? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 25? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET · Down | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.30at 0.094Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 24?
- +$-5.27at 0.253Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 20:52 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.2 | $8.00 |
| 10-26 14:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 26? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 10-25 16:26 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on October 25? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $3.00 |
| 10-25 09:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 25? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 12:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 12:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 24? | BUY | 0.0879999951 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 06:42 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 13? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |