0xaf318d685a35a24afb35b4a79b548139d7892d69
- Realised P&L
- $28.17
- Volume
- $870.90
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $16.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? · No | 0.530 | 0.525 | $12.47 | −$0.12 |
| Will Utah Mammoth advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? · No | 0.700 | 0.685 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.028 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.007 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will KAA Gent win on 2026-09-18? · No | 0.470 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$32.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.72at 0.384LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
- +$25.95at 0.668Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
- +$-30.26at 0.467AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: US Sassuolo Calcio O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:25 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299999375 | $3.14 |
| 09-18 21:24 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:22 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299999498 | $3.80 |
| 09-18 21:21 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299999636 | $3.64 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will Utah Mammoth advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will Utah Mammoth advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.92 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.86 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.027 | $2.89 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.52 | $12.67 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.88 |
| 09-18 20:54 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |