PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaF2710ec43713b6494f0Af7cE50d2d03ae81806B-1769368697403

0xaf2710ec43713b6494f0af7ce50d2d03ae81806b

Realised P&L
$3.80
Volume
$790.90
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$12.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4300.365$2.55−$0.45
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.3100.360$2.32+$0.32
Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.4600.979$2.13+$1.13
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.365$1.92+$0.92
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? · Yes0.8500.845$0.99−$0.01
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1500.105$0.70−$0.30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.8690.563$0.65−$0.35
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.4400.280$0.64−$0.36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0900.046$0.51−$0.49
Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.3900.004$0.01−$0.99
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$2.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.2590.000$0.00−$1.00
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.4890.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 13:28Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?BUY0.849999915$1.00
10-27 21:32Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
10-27 07:48Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-25 11:48Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-25 10:45Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-24 15:28Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?SELL0.98$1.39
10-24 13:17Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.849999915$1.00
10-24 10:17Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-24 10:17Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.61$1.17
10-23 18:07Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-21 16:56Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-21 16:56Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
10-21 16:55Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.7$1.00
10-21 16:55Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
10-18 17:11Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?SELL0.11$0.20