0xaF2710ec43713b6494f0Af7cE50d2d03ae81806B-1769368697403
0xaf2710ec43713b6494f0af7ce50d2d03ae81806b
- Realised P&L
- $3.80
- Volume
- $790.90
- Markets traded
- 138
- Open portfolio
- $12.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded138
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.352Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$3.98at 0.430US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$3.73at 0.939Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$2.12at 0.267Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$2.08at 0.590Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:28 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 21:32 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 07:48 | Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 11:48 | Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 10:45 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 15:28 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.39 |
| 10-24 13:17 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 10:17 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 10:17 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.17 |
| 10-23 18:07 | Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 16:56 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 16:56 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 16:55 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 16:55 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 17:11 | Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.20 |