oscalpaster
0xaf26bb8961a2a577ae07170f7b61538ea685d436
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $178.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $54.54 | −$0.29 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.972 | $52.49 | −$0.49 |
| Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.973 | 0.954 | $51.52 | −$1.03 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · No | 0.955 | 0.958 | $20.15 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$741.00at 0.430Royals vs. Cubs
- +$448.00at 0.440Cardinals vs. Marlins
- +$409.05at 0.550Cubs vs. Marlins
- +$385.00at 0.450Brewers vs. Cubs
- +$3.11at 0.943Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:26 | Astros vs. Marlins | BUY | 0.55 | $800.25 |
| 07-25 05:32 | Phillies vs. Yankees | BUY | 0.59 | $615.96 |
| 05-20 12:50 | Cubs vs. Marlins | BUY | 0.55 | $499.95 |
| 05-13 11:36 | Cardinals vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.59 | $549.88 |