0xaf265fd71b54b49c765e7dab36837b460d6e6d04
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $29.7k
- Markets traded
- 243
- Open portfolio
- $104.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded243
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.960 | 1.000 | $104.11 | +$4.11 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 17-23? · No | 0.937 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 10? · No | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will FC København vs. FC Inter Turku end in a draw? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23? · No | 0.704 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Up | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.45at 0.914Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 10-16?
- +$37.79at 1.000Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?
- +$25.08at 0.947Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?
- +$19.02at 0.901Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 23?
- +$17.88at 0.884Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 18:59 | Will US Lecce win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.93 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 18:30 | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 16:01 | Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Académico de Viseu FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 14:58 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw? | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 03:55 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $300.00 |
| 09-20 03:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.995 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 03:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9569999987 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 20:46 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9958506223 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 20:21 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9646870552 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 15:42 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9899999968 | $300.00 |
| 09-19 09:14 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9129999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 03:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.994 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 20:50 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 18:48 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.98 | $40.00 |
| 09-18 15:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9769999999 | $20.00 |