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0xaf23273e03a924a257edd6beae7133cf9d32377f
- Realised P&L
- $-178.1k
- Volume
- $2.41M
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $9.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.038 | $9.5k | −$31.9k |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-16.4kat 0.302Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 09:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.2k |
| 08-18 04:45 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $10.0k |
| 08-10 01:46 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $740.67 |
| 08-10 01:46 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $8.1k |
| 03-26 01:12 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.01107466 | $623.78 |
| 03-25 14:02 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $193.50 |
| 03-25 13:56 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.0k |
| 02-26 13:46 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.179793209 | $10.0k |
| 02-26 13:45 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1739282567 | $20.0k |
| 02-26 13:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1730104363 | $20.0k |
| 02-26 13:43 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1691789239 | $50.0k |
| 02-26 13:42 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $30.0k |
| 02-26 13:39 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.0k |
| 11-06 04:01 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0657298296 | $50.0k |