0xaf22331f99032b9d587e38a56e47e8468e0a93f4
0xaf22331f99032b9d587e38a56e47e8468e0a93f4
- Realised P&L
- $-125.70
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 777
- Open portfolio
- $4.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded777
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24? · Up | 0.510 | 0.500 | $4.90 | −$0.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.23at 0.682Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$15.85at 0.647Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$14.53at 0.809Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$11.97at 0.683Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$10.95at 0.789Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 22:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 22:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 21:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 21:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $5.22 |
| 09-22 21:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 20:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 20:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $16.65 |
| 09-22 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 20:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 20:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |