0xAF1F63F6776cCDfF2362874d0F76C8b527329dc5-1776029962481
0xaf1f63f6776ccdff2362874d0f76c8b527329dc5
- Realised P&L
- $46.66
- Volume
- $21.8k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $682.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.17at 0.950Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
- +$23.88at 0.714Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$19.62at 0.716Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$13.45at 0.872Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- +$13.39at 0.560Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:38 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.26 | $3.64 |
| 09-17 22:37 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.00 |
| 09-17 22:37 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 22:35 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.218 | $1.09 |
| 09-17 22:35 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.218 | $6.54 |
| 09-17 22:33 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.208 | $3.10 |
| 09-17 22:30 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.12 | $20.40 |
| 09-17 21:37 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 09-17 20:46 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.28 | $44.80 |
| 09-17 20:45 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.27 | $16.20 |
| 09-17 20:44 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6688372093 | $143.80 |
| 09-17 10:28 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.155 | $2.33 |
| 09-17 10:13 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.167 | $2.51 |
| 09-17 08:39 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.1669999987 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 07:21 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.154 | $1.03 |