Jarvis1
0xaf1373e45727aeb1b13f677303f173d053da72ca
- Realised P&L
- $-8.38
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $44.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:27 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 09-15 07:33 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 09-15 07:33 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 07-26 02:46 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 07-25 09:43 | Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.37 |
| 07-25 09:42 | Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by December 31? | SELL | 0.981 | $4.91 |
| 07-25 09:42 | Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by September 30? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 07-22 02:21 | Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.529 | $2.65 |
| 07-22 02:21 | Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 07-22 02:20 | Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.25 |
| 07-22 02:19 | Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.97 |
| 07-22 02:18 | Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by December 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 07-22 02:17 | Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by September 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 02:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 07-07 02:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.50 |