PolyBot

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Traders

constanting

0xaf0d13992f648072399c3b886b6d1e5ee21e162c

Realised P&L
$-22.56
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$35.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration94.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.9980.992$35.69$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 03:17Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.998$21.96
08-20 07:53Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 22?BUY0.998$35.93
07-28 07:29Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of July?BUY0.999$38.96
07-28 07:28Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $320 end of July?SELL0.1717177143$6.01
07-11 08:34Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $320 end of July?BUY0.99$34.65
06-19 09:46Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $500 end of June?BUY0.998$36.93
06-13 16:00Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?BUY0.996$22.91
06-07 10:16Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?BUY0.997$187.44
05-20 08:34Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?BUY0.993$13.59
05-04 09:44Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8?BUY0.999$57.94
04-09 09:46Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?BUY0.998$4.99
03-24 02:14Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.997$64.41
03-09 08:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?BUY0.999$64.24
02-18 13:44Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?BUY0.999$42.40
01-14 14:43Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.999$43.00