PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xAefda37FBf3d97721341A409c8ac2E554664b5ff-1756455487199

0xaefda37fbf3d97721341a409c8ac2e554664b5ff

Realised P&L
$-84.65
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$5.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3400.815$2.40+$1.40
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.986$1.55+$0.04
Will Taylor Fritz Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings · Yes0.7400.535$1.45−$0.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.5480.000$0.00−$1.91
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:2 against Jannik Sinner? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$2.00
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season · Los Ratones0.1340.000$0.00−$22.12
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season · Karmine Corp Blue0.0600.000$0.00−$14.15
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$3.55
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$11.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Down0.5990.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$4.60
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$2.00
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage · LYON0.2510.000$0.00−$5.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.0710.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 13:06Will Taylor Fritz Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsBUY0.74$2.00
04-10 15:20Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
04-10 15:19Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.9460435435$6.30
04-03 13:27Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.4499999359$2.91
04-03 13:27Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.29999982$0.90
04-03 12:47Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.1009999102$1.00
04-03 12:46Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.983$2.68
04-01 18:26Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.04$1.00
04-01 18:18Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.1049999118$1.00
04-01 18:12Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.1539998814$1.00
03-04 15:28Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?BUY0.3099999289$1.70
03-04 15:27Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?BUY0.2299999009$1.30
03-04 15:27Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s French Open?BUY0.1$1.00
03-04 15:27Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
03-04 15:26Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?BUY0.3099999008$1.50