PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

OutcomeUnclear

0xaee155cfcdbea58f38ae6dea1475a0198f443cea

Realised P&L
$10.8k
Volume
$367.8k
Markets traded
243
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded243
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.6220.775$774.89+$152.68
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.4330.514$514.55+$81.04
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.8600.855$513.00$3.00
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.8000.001$0.13$199.88
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.6640.000$0.00$332.05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? · No0.4890.000$0.00$488.65
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? · No0.7920.000$0.00$384.94
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5840.000$0.00$584.00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026? · No0.0210.000$0.00$21.13
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Alex Pereira0.5100.000$0.00$260.10
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev0.8220.000$0.00$2.5k
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? · No0.2280.000$0.00$18.03
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) · Ilia Topuria0.8000.000$0.00$450.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026? · No0.9070.000$0.00$544.52
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$40.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:50Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.446$133.80
08-02 13:24Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.449$8.98
08-02 13:09Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.425$246.50
08-02 01:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.93$464.93
08-01 19:24Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$2.0k
08-01 19:17Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$499.08
08-01 15:44Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.78$34.98
08-01 15:40Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.76$5.00
08-01 13:24Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.698$51.99
08-01 13:17Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.631$31.42
08-01 10:38Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.788$7.97
08-01 10:37Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.789952755$401.29
08-01 10:36Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.788$7.88
08-01 09:59Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.74$155.10
08-01 09:24Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?SELL0.998$203.23