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OutcomeUnclear

0xaee155cfcdbea58f38ae6dea1475a0198f443cea

Realised P&L
$9.8k
Volume
$430.9k
Markets traded
261
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded261
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:21Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.76$494.00
09-16 20:09Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.93$1.4k
09-16 20:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$2.2k
09-16 09:01Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$1.47
09-14 20:35Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$23.51
09-12 15:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.79$158.00
09-12 14:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.79$474.00
09-12 14:58Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.78$779.91
09-12 14:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.79$1.1k
09-12 14:54Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.67$670.04
09-11 13:04Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$2.29
09-10 17:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.36$72.00
09-10 17:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.36$540.00
09-10 14:04Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.83$415.00
09-09 20:20Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$9.74
Trader OutcomeUnclear · PolyBot Pro