PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

3199

0xaede80fc94e1b15bf8a6e2dcc428d9a4e3f26971

Realised P&L
$-70.84
Volume
$119.2k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$28.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.002$26.86$94.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · No0.9870.993$1.81+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 07:42Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?BUY0.9869995564$1.80
08-09 13:28Will Solana dip to $10 in August?BUY0.999$1.71
06-22 18:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 23?BUY0.999$1.28
03-04 07:56Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$140.87
11-19 19:28Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.005$104.88
11-19 19:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 20?BUY0.9969999995$2.12
11-19 19:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 20?BUY0.998$2.26
10-08 10:08Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,000 on October 9?BUY0.999$4.20
10-08 10:07Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,900 on October 8?BUY0.999$2.05
10-08 10:06Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$103.00
05-06 17:40Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?BUY0.999$5.50
05-05 18:35Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?BUY0.005$7.38
05-05 18:34Ethereum all time high in May?BUY0.996$75.00
01-16 09:14Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by January 31, 2025?BUY0.989$30.00
12-19 08:25Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?BUY0.988$19.37