PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAeDdF4b46151440C329be3d0ca9B8CfA1A0F6824-1768305672744

0xaeddf4b46151440c329be3d0ca9b8cfa1a0f6824

Realised P&L
$-74.43
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
196
Open portfolio
$0.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded196
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 15? · Yes0.1100.013$0.12−$0.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Down0.3850.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00−$2.00
Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down0.3750.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Down0.5180.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$2.00
Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Guiomar Maristany · Martha Matoula0.3060.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18) · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will SpaceX have exactly 8 launches in January? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Down0.1610.000$0.00−$1.00
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 · Under0.0800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on January 23, 2026? · Yes0.2120.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 22:29Will New York City FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.16$1.00
10-14 22:26Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.1$1.00
10-14 20:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-14 20:14Santa Cruz 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Alex BarrenaSELL0.77$3.08
10-14 19:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-14 19:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-14 19:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.29999994$1.00
10-14 19:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.29999994$1.00
10-14 19:31Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 15?BUY0.109999989$1.00
10-14 19:10Santa Cruz 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Alex BarrenaBUY0.25$1.00
10-14 19:10Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Guiomar MaristanyBUY0.3059999865$1.00
10-14 19:10Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
07-19 21:21Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3$15.00
07-15 20:29Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.0849999286$1.00
07-15 20:18Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.1074999108$1.00