0xAeDdF4b46151440C329be3d0ca9B8CfA1A0F6824-1768305672744
0xaeddf4b46151440c329be3d0ca9b8cfa1a0f6824
- Realised P&L
- $-74.43
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $0.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.68at 0.091Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$33.66at 0.058England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5
- +$18.98at 0.099Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$15.72at 0.245Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
- +$15.67at 0.207Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 22:29 | Will New York City FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 22:26 | Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 20:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 20:14 | Santa Cruz 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Alex Barrena | SELL | 0.77 | $3.08 |
| 10-14 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 15? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:10 | Santa Cruz 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Alex Barrena | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:10 | Lisbon: Martha Matoula vs Guiomar Maristany | BUY | 0.3059999865 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:10 | Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:21 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 20:29 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.0849999286 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 20:18 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.1074999108 | $1.00 |