0xaedcc5e63ea627908f44883d29152a0a9c6db057
0xaedcc5e63ea627908f44883d29152a0a9c6db057
- Realised P&L
- $-5.85
- Volume
- $144.98
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $1.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 6? · Up | 0.580 | 0.685 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.98at 0.278Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 8?
- +$2.23at 0.400US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$1.94at 0.440Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$1.30at 0.440Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 04:45 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:58 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:06 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:42 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 03:02 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 23? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 18:58 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:54 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:54 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:53 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:57 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 05:53 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:39 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 18? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:34 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:04 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |