PAULCON
0xaed6e9d1be3034133acad7db476937fc962ec4a8
- Realised P&L
- $-48.75
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $11.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.84at 0.100Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?
- +$22.87at 0.427Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$18.10at 0.547Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$15.63at 0.687Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
- +$15.18at 0.696Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 09:25 | Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T? | BUY | 0.2899999977 | $18.00 |
| 10-27 09:24 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 10-04 10:56 | Will Casey Jarvis win the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship? | BUY | 0.3649999592 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 10:53 | Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | SELL | 0.869 | $3.33 |
| 09-09 16:00 | Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | BUY | 0.779999953 | $2.99 |
| 09-09 15:57 | Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting? | SELL | 0.4121714286 | $2.89 |
| 08-20 17:32 | Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.73 |
| 08-17 10:31 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 08-11 16:32 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 20:41 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.058 | $2.90 |
| 08-02 10:15 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 07-28 14:19 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.791780005 | $80.00 |
| 07-27 14:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7289999968 | $20.00 |
| 07-27 14:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 07-27 14:24 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |