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Traders

PAULCON

0xaed6e9d1be3034133acad7db476937fc962ec4a8

Realised P&L
$-48.75
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$11.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T? · Yes0.2900.185$11.48−$6.52
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$3.60
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00−$6.64
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$29.50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$14.80
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$5.00
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$9.60
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5750.000$0.00−$23.00
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev · Arthur Fery0.1300.000$0.00−$6.50
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4090.000$0.00−$20.45
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$3.20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$1.50
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$8.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 09:25Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?BUY0.2899999977$18.00
10-27 09:24Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$18.60
10-04 10:56Will Casey Jarvis win the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship?BUY0.3649999592$3.00
10-04 10:53Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?SELL0.869$3.33
09-09 16:00Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?BUY0.779999953$2.99
09-09 15:57Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting?SELL0.4121714286$2.89
08-20 17:32Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting?BUY0.39$2.73
08-17 10:31Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$17.60
08-11 16:32Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.2$6.00
08-05 20:41Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.058$2.90
08-02 10:15Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.38$11.40
07-28 14:19Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.791780005$80.00
07-27 14:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7289999968$20.00
07-27 14:25Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$4.00
07-27 14:24Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$1.00
Trader PAULCON · PolyBot Pro