PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaeD5DC60747197c8be5a9ee488A776aA1DC24878-1766572097384

0xaed5dc60747197c8be5a9ee488a776aa1dc24878

Realised P&L
$44.22
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$0.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? · Yes0.0300.018$0.37$0.23
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? · Yes0.0600.029$0.29$0.31
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14? · Up0.4000.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8? · Up0.0550.000$0.00$0.55
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Down0.1130.000$0.00$1.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00$1.20
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.0350.000$0.00$0.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.0390.000$0.00$3.30
Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 5AM ET · Down0.2430.000$0.00$2.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$0.55
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? · Up0.1200.000$0.00$0.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00$0.85
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18? · Down0.0100.000$0.00$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 01:04Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8PM ETSELL0.999$5.00
06-22 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6PM ETSELL0.034$0.34
06-22 18:48Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2PM ETBUY0.91$1.00
06-22 18:46Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2PM ETSELL0.95$15.31
06-22 18:06Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2PM ETBUY0.3099999622$5.00
06-22 17:09Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ETSELL0.45$4.41
06-22 17:03Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
06-22 16:27Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12PM ETBUY0.19$1.90
01-02 14:18Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.1$1.00
01-02 10:17Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 5AM ETBUY0.2099998677$1.00
01-02 10:08Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 5AM ETBUY0.2899998666$1.00
01-01 16:08Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.08$1.00
01-01 16:06Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.8$1.00
01-01 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.1199998992$1.00
01-01 16:04Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.2$1.00