0xaeD5DC60747197c8be5a9ee488A776aA1DC24878-1766572097384
0xaed5dc60747197c8be5a9ee488a776aa1dc24878
- Realised P&L
- $44.22
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $0.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.17at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$14.00at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?
- +$12.75at 0.150Ethereum Up or Down on June 30?
- +$10.12at 0.911Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2PM ET
- +$9.05at 0.095Bitcoin Up or Down on August 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 01:04 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 22:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6PM ET | SELL | 0.034 | $0.34 |
| 06-22 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 18:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $15.31 |
| 06-22 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 17:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $4.41 |
| 06-22 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 16:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 01-02 14:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 01-02 10:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 01-02 10:08 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 01-01 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 01-01 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 01-01 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 01-01 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |