PolyBot

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Traders

0xaed4a06aa7b2d9d7b94f89d693459153e37709af

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$1.17M
Markets traded
898
Open portfolio
$24.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded898
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · Yes0.0210.021$10.53$0.01
Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes0.0030.158$4.41+$4.33
Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes0.0030.042$2.95+$2.74
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0270.009$1.71$3.15
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0560.018$1.55$3.42
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0371.000$1.18+$1.13
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$0.70$2.10
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.70$3.10
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.65$3.55
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0060.002$0.18$0.53
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0090.002$0.12$0.61
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.1000.002$0.01$0.49
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$9.75
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$5.00
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-09 01:33Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.739$171.45
06-05 20:27Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?SELL0.2220173868$165.62
05-30 20:25Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?BUY0.006$4.26
05-30 20:25Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?BUY0.006$1.68
05-30 18:26Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.102$4.59
05-30 12:45Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.027$4.86
05-30 07:49Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on May 31?BUY0.009$4.95
05-30 07:33Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on May 31?BUY0.008$0.99
05-30 05:15Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?BUY0.009$0.58
05-30 00:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?BUY0.025$4.98
05-29 23:04Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?BUY0.002$0.56
05-29 23:04Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?BUY0.002$1.42
05-29 23:03Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?BUY0.002$0.56
05-29 23:03Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?BUY0.002$1.42
05-29 23:02Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?BUY0.002$0.56