0xaed4a06aa7b2d9d7b94f89d693459153e37709af
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $1.17M
- Markets traded
- 898
- Open portfolio
- $24.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded898
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$709.28at 0.007Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$672.05at 0.007Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?
- +$606.60at 0.064Will Kurt Kitayama finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?
- +$399.83at 0.020Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5
- +$322.77at 0.010Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 01:33 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.739 | $171.45 |
| 06-05 20:27 | Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.2220173868 | $165.62 |
| 05-30 20:25 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY | 0.006 | $4.26 |
| 05-30 20:25 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.68 |
| 05-30 18:26 | Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.102 | $4.59 |
| 05-30 12:45 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.027 | $4.86 |
| 05-30 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on May 31? | BUY | 0.009 | $4.95 |
| 05-30 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on May 31? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.99 |
| 05-30 05:15 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.58 |
| 05-30 00:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $4.98 |
| 05-29 23:04 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.56 |
| 05-29 23:04 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.42 |
| 05-29 23:03 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.56 |
| 05-29 23:03 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.42 |
| 05-29 23:02 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.56 |