PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaEd39A89da6E00f432ef761feFB418ce83e8986D-1772294513299

0xaed39a89da6e00f432ef761fefb418ce83e8986d

Realised P&L
$-581.12
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$43.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1440.011$43.77$556.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Down0.5210.000$0.00$5.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Down0.2790.000$0.00$46.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.5450.000$0.00$9.86
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Down0.5890.000$0.00$9.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Down0.2740.000$0.00$13.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-01 17:08Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1480678134$300.00
02-28 18:27Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL0.7886847068$96.18
02-28 18:23Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.819999999$100.00
02-28 18:01Solana Up or Down - February 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.6432904726$9.74
02-28 17:58Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.0299999943$5.00
02-28 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSELL0.9909999995$34.50
02-28 17:53Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.8585690509$29.78
02-28 17:30Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.4899999804$4.84
02-28 17:06Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.5445544414$9.69
02-28 17:06Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSELL0.36$1.54
02-28 17:05Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.459999885$1.94
02-28 17:04Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSELL0.99$11.86
02-28 17:02Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.8299999967$9.90
02-28 17:01Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETSELL0.99$13.60
02-28 16:57Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.7199999856$9.80