0xaEd39A89da6E00f432ef761feFB418ce83e8986D-1772294513299
0xaed39a89da6e00f432ef761fefb418ce83e8986d
- Realised P&L
- $-581.12
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $43.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.011 | $43.77 | −$556.22 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Down | 0.521 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.24 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Down | 0.279 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.48 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up | 0.545 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.86 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET · Down | 0.589 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.03 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Down | 0.274 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.43at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
- +$10.22at 0.623Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$7.66at 0.672Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$1.16at 0.505Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$-3.82at 0.820Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-01 17:08 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1480678134 | $300.00 |
| 02-28 18:27 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | SELL | 0.7886847068 | $96.18 |
| 02-28 18:23 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |
| 02-28 18:01 | Solana Up or Down - February 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6432904726 | $9.74 |
| 02-28 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.9909999995 | $34.50 |
| 02-28 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8585690509 | $29.78 |
| 02-28 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $4.84 |
| 02-28 17:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5445544414 | $9.69 |
| 02-28 17:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $1.54 |
| 02-28 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.459999885 | $1.94 |
| 02-28 17:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $11.86 |
| 02-28 17:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $9.90 |
| 02-28 17:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $13.60 |
| 02-28 16:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $9.80 |