adfjo
0xaec718f7dd38e0c29c14a8472183a48fed6203ef
- Realised P&L
- $6.3k
- Volume
- $205.9k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.357Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$2.3kat 0.310Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$1.4kat 0.361National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz
- +$946.32at 0.562Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$648.55at 0.351Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 18:56 | Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.2486901152 | $82.02 |
| 08-24 18:55 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.3617123 | $361.71 |
| 08-21 09:00 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.6 | $360.00 |
| 08-20 21:52 | Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.22 | $48.62 |
| 08-20 21:51 | Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.21 | $22.85 |
| 08-20 21:50 | Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | BUY | 0.263 | $17.56 |
| 08-20 21:50 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? | SELL | 0.03 | $80.70 |
| 08-20 20:43 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli | BUY | 0.32 | $160.00 |
| 08-20 20:42 | Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli | BUY | 0.37 | $32.19 |
| 08-20 12:49 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $15.25 |
| 08-20 12:13 | BNB Up or Down - August 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2999999768 | $7.75 |
| 08-20 12:12 | BNB Up or Down - August 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $4.65 |
| 08-20 11:52 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9896666667 | $14.85 |
| 08-20 11:51 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $24.75 |
| 08-20 11:37 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |