DB6
0xaec1bacf5726d12713c7302355aff2a9ed4d0732
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $60.8k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $280.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.021 | $230.18 | −$815.18 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.115 | $50.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? · Yes | 0.125 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.97 |
| Bitcoin all time high in April? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$519.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.55at 0.395Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
- +$110.97at 0.474Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$10.58at 0.690Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$-6.16at 0.170Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
- +$-38.46at 0.130Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 02:58 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.0559999979 | $25.00 |
| 07-27 02:57 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.0606886083 | $27.59 |
| 06-15 22:24 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.0935998651 | $126.64 |
| 06-03 08:29 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.090236566 | $50.00 |
| 06-03 08:29 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.11 | $43.77 |
| 06-01 01:05 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.1090475842 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 20:53 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.0947524483 | $200.00 |
| 05-30 12:58 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.0881500621 | $200.00 |
| 05-30 07:03 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.1141115442 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 06:28 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.1084088086 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 05:42 | Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | BUY | 0.0897573439 | $100.00 |
| 01-29 12:56 | Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.0790576413 | $128.00 |
| 01-19 06:02 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 01-19 05:59 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2299999986 | $100.00 |
| 04-23 06:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | BUY | 0.0434098585 | $100.00 |