PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

144000

0xaec150fc205232db4a850bb3327cf16364a440b7

Realised P&L
$-159.99
Volume
$61.1k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$7.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 2? · No0.0010.001$4.50−$4.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes0.0010.001$2.10−$2.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 26-November 1? · Yes0.0010.001$0.46−$0.45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 2? · No0.0010.001$0.13−$0.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$22.39
Islanders vs. Golden Knights · Golden Knights0.3570.000$0.00−$26.00
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$2.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on October 30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$17.53
Will Declan Rice finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on October 31? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$7.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:31Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 26-November 1?BUY0.001$0.99
11-01 20:02Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 2?BUY0.001$0.26
11-01 16:26Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 October 26-November 1?BUY0.001$1.20
11-01 15:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 1?SELL0.002$0.09
11-01 14:24Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 26-November 1?BUY0.001$0.91
11-01 13:40Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 October 26-November 1?BUY0.001$3.00
11-01 12:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 2?BUY0.001$0.51
11-01 12:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 1?SELL0.001$0.23
10-31 16:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 1?BUY0.001$16.73
10-31 00:28Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?BUY0.001$0.99
10-31 00:28Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?BUY0.001$1.00
10-30 23:10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on October 31?BUY0.001$4.33
10-30 22:40Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?BUY0.001$4.29
10-30 22:07Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?BUY0.001$1.28
10-30 20:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on October 31?SELL0.002$0.01