0xAeC07b3bEAB5b0F9CB272fe562993FA0bbcEf218-1770714478421
0xaec07b3beab5b0f9cb272fe562993fa0bbcef218
- Realised P&L
- $30.33
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $65.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.180 | $65.23 | +$47.11 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$181.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.39at 0.522Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$61.28at 0.480US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
- +$51.30at 0.740Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
- +$47.20at 0.740US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
- +$17.12at 0.870US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 18:26 | Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0494051176 | $39.52 |
| 07-02 03:17 | US x China tariff agreement by July 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $155.97 |
| 04-26 15:01 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? | BUY | 0.54 | $48.86 |
| 04-15 13:01 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 02-22 13:36 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.40 |
| 02-22 13:29 | Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $134.60 |
| 02-10 10:40 | US tariff revenue up in Q4 2025? | BUY | 0.91 | $123.85 |