PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaeb90af434Ee5F40544c96086ffB65bB4d3a59F9-1789574746584

0xaeb90af434ee5f40544c96086ffb65bb4d3a59f9

Realised P&L
$24.43
Volume
$858.10
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$12.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.5900.510$2.55$0.40
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 19? · No0.5400.475$2.38$0.33
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? · No0.4800.460$2.30$0.10
Athletic Club leading at halftime? · No0.7800.500$2.00$1.12
Will Vinted be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · No0.4800.385$1.93$0.47
Will the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.0400.061$1.28+$0.44
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 19? · Yes0.0910.035$0.17$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 19? · Yes0.0910.010$0.05$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on September 19? · Yes0.0910.010$0.05$0.40
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 19? · Yes0.0910.010$0.05$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on September 19? · Yes0.0910.010$0.05$0.40
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 19? · Yes0.0910.006$0.03$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 19? · Yes0.0910.004$0.02$0.44
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? · Yes0.0910.003$0.01$0.44
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.0910.003$0.01$0.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:14Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19?SELL0.38$1.89
09-17 18:14Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 19?BUY0.4099999799$2.04
09-17 17:44Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.35$1.75
09-17 17:44Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.38$1.90
09-17 17:34Los Angeles Dodgers to win the 2nd inning?BUY0.01$1.02
09-17 17:31Getafe CF leading at halftime?BUY0.95$4.75
09-17 17:23Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.3599999877$2.35
09-17 17:21FK Akron Tolyatti to win the second half?BUY0.37$1.85
09-17 17:20Will the Democratic Party control the Arizona Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.41$0.21
09-17 17:15Will OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?SELL0.76$3.85
09-17 17:14Will OFI win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.7699999982$4.30
09-17 17:14Will OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?BUY0.7899999802$4.00
09-17 17:07Will Vinted be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.48$2.40
09-17 16:58Will the Browns win the season series against the Steelers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.997$4.99
09-17 16:58Will the Steelers win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.48$2.40