0xAEb74a6e4832Fb92b4F763cCA8b2EbeDc5769777-1790150598978
0xaeb74a6e4832fb92b4f763cca8b2ebedc5769777
- Realised P&L
- $-106.31
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $56.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.10at 0.632Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17?
- +$2.96at 0.746Titans vs. Colts
- +$2.81at 0.630Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$2.73at 0.765Jets vs. Patriots
- +$2.13at 0.622Islanders vs. Senators
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 18:30 | Jets vs. Patriots | SELL | 0.94 | $14.84 |
| 10-18 18:30 | Titans vs. Colts | SELL | 0.93 | $15.08 |
| 10-18 15:20 | Jets vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.76 | $12.00 |
| 10-18 15:16 | Titans vs. Colts | BUY | 0.74 | $12.00 |
| 10-18 07:08 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 10-18 06:58 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $12.00 |
| 10-18 06:45 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.00 |
| 10-18 06:10 | Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs | SELL | 0.57 | $11.59 |
| 10-18 06:05 | Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.58 | $11.80 |
| 10-17 19:53 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.8 | $15.48 |
| 10-17 09:42 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.76 | $12.00 |
| 10-17 09:39 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.00 |
| 10-16 17:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $12.00 |
| 10-15 23:16 | Islanders vs. Senators | SELL | 0.74 | $14.56 |
| 10-15 17:45 | Islanders vs. Senators | BUY | 0.61 | $12.00 |