PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hdydr

0xaeb5be8652cb40867f0af216873edad0f2d93abf

Realised P&L
$-14.06
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$2.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.9500.823$0.87$0.13
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3370.105$0.67$1.48
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4050.065$0.41$2.14
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.9600.344$0.36$0.64
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8100.185$0.23$0.77
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5000.025$0.05$0.95
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes0.8300.011$0.01$0.99
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 12? · Yes0.9690.000$0.00$1.00
Will Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Cary Katz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 21? · Up0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026? · Yes0.8800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-14 13:38Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9559999694$1.00
03-14 13:38Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.47$0.63
03-14 13:37Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.17$0.46
03-14 13:37Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.1$0.32
03-14 13:37Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.21$0.42
01-14 11:22Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.995$1.19
01-03 15:09Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8299992198$1.00
01-03 15:08Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
01-03 15:07Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
01-03 15:07Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999757$1.00
01-03 15:07Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
01-03 15:07Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.95$1.00
01-03 15:06Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
01-03 15:06Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.96$1.00
01-03 15:06Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.8299999087$1.00