PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaEb182c47E7aFc8674eeA31eb28f1EDE1aB703fb-1770588777572

0xaeb182c47e7afc8674eea31eb28f1ede1ab703fb

Realised P&L
$-11.7k
Volume
$116.1k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$149.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0860.015$126.36−$573.63
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.0390.001$22.69−$1.8k
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.6740.000$0.00−$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Up0.1380.000$0.00−$512.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET · Down0.2710.000$0.00−$313.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 16:21Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?BUY0.0333284519$380.07
09-29 09:51Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0862657755$200.00
09-29 09:50Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?BUY0.0506508469$400.00
09-29 01:26Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0857103732$500.00
09-29 01:26Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?BUY0.0383454234$1.0k
02-28 19:57Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETSELL0.86$255.50
02-28 19:56Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.6648250017$195.03
02-28 19:54Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETSELL0.98$232.28
02-28 19:54Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.8399999997$198.19
02-28 19:36Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.6817528346$97.65
02-28 19:35Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.6500020355$97.41
02-28 19:33Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSELL0.98$779.37
02-28 19:33Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETSELL0.98$197.97
02-28 19:32Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.99$887.30
02-28 19:32Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.99$100.00