0xaEb182c47E7aFc8674eeA31eb28f1EDE1aB703fb-1770588777572
0xaeb182c47e7afc8674eea31eb28f1ede1ab703fb
- Realised P&L
- $-11.7k
- Volume
- $116.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $149.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.015 | $126.36 | −$573.63 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.001 | $22.69 | −$1.8k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down | 0.674 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Up | 0.138 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$512.64 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET · Down | 0.271 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$313.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.58at 0.673Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$32.26at 0.844Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
- +$4.35at 0.647Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$0.22at 0.970Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
- +$-10.09at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 16:21 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0333284519 | $380.07 |
| 09-29 09:51 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0862657755 | $200.00 |
| 09-29 09:50 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0506508469 | $400.00 |
| 09-29 01:26 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0857103732 | $500.00 |
| 09-29 01:26 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0383454234 | $1.0k |
| 02-28 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $255.50 |
| 02-28 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6648250017 | $195.03 |
| 02-28 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $232.28 |
| 02-28 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $198.19 |
| 02-28 19:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6817528346 | $97.65 |
| 02-28 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6500020355 | $97.41 |
| 02-28 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $779.37 |
| 02-28 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $197.97 |
| 02-28 19:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $887.30 |
| 02-28 19:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |