scooke
0xaea678da6a811944014d5d4f12c01d364b51f00e
- Realised P&L
- $48.26
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $47.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Dane Sweeny · Shintaro Mochizuki | 0.737 | 1.000 | $34.84 | +$9.16 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.735 | $12.67 | +$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.13at 0.540Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
- +$12.33at 0.750Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$2.34at 0.870Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
- +$1.06at 0.980OpenAI browser in July?
- +$0.37at 0.990Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 03:40 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.7199999884 | $12.41 |
| 01-31 13:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.998999937 | $6.58 |
| 01-30 12:22 | Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.21 |
| 01-30 12:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.84 |
| 01-30 11:54 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979999578 | $17.53 |
| 01-30 11:53 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.14 |
| 12-30 14:29 | Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.84 |
| 12-30 12:50 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.66 |
| 12-30 00:35 | Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.36 |
| 12-30 00:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999514 | $17.15 |
| 12-29 20:13 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.87 |
| 10-30 21:18 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.04 |
| 10-30 21:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October? | BUY | 0.9889999956 | $18.39 |
| 10-30 19:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October? | BUY | 0.990999947 | $18.45 |
| 09-29 10:13 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.62 |