0xaea649fbce1a88cc1bbf49bb9141b58cb5cb9cfa
0xaea649fbce1a88cc1bbf49bb9141b58cb5cb9cfa
- Realised P&L
- $-3.53
- Volume
- $233.00
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $27.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.370 | $25.53 | +$9.66 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.043 | $1.26 | −$2.22 |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.038 | $0.61 | −$1.47 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.80at 0.984Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$-2.79at 0.220Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-10 10:12 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.82 |
| 03-28 09:36 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.48 |
| 03-28 09:36 | H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.08 |
| 03-26 09:29 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY | 0.23 | $15.87 |
| 03-17 17:33 | Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.54 |
| 03-17 13:37 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.984 | $49.20 |