Arbga2026
0xaea0d2d9c206f0a3f9cf05aae723942a61500dec
- Realised P&L
- $8.9k
- Volume
- $6.63M
- Markets traded
- 5,454
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,454
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.7kat 0.277Bucks vs. Thunder
- +$17.9kat 0.359Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Sebastian Korda
- +$16.1kat 0.264Pacers vs. Knicks
- +$12.5kat 0.436Wizards vs. Pistons
- +$11.1kat 0.601Delray Beach Open: Zachary Svajda vs Frances Tiafoe
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-04 03:38 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.6558 | $118.04 |
| 04-04 03:36 | Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | SELL | 0.324 | $165.56 |
| 04-04 03:36 | Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | SELL | 0.65 | $39.00 |
| 04-04 03:35 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.054 | $0.49 |
| 04-04 03:34 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.4421630819 | $275.47 |
| 04-04 03:34 | Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | SELL | 0.9127924333 | $273.84 |
| 04-04 03:34 | Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | SELL | 0.318 | $29.89 |
| 04-04 03:34 | Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | SELL | 0.6074576271 | $179.20 |
| 04-04 03:33 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.86 | $335.40 |
| 04-04 03:31 | Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | SELL | 0.65 | $297.70 |
| 04-04 03:31 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | SELL | 0.6209335398 | $1.9k |
| 04-03 17:06 | Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8080007997 | $39.95 |
| 04-03 17:02 | Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.35 | $3.36 |
| 04-03 16:59 | Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage | BUY | 0.3063859776 | $8.12 |
| 04-03 16:58 | Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage | BUY | 0.2265253648 | $6.22 |