PolyBot

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Traders

Arbga2026

0xaea0d2d9c206f0a3f9cf05aae723942a61500dec

Realised P&L
$8.9k
Volume
$6.63M
Markets traded
5,454
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,454
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-04 03:38Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.6558$118.04
04-04 03:36Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?SELL0.324$165.56
04-04 03:36Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?SELL0.65$39.00
04-04 03:35Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.054$0.49
04-04 03:34Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.4421630819$275.47
04-04 03:34Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?SELL0.9127924333$273.84
04-04 03:34Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?SELL0.318$29.89
04-04 03:34Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?SELL0.6074576271$179.20
04-04 03:33Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.86$335.40
04-04 03:31Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.65$297.70
04-04 03:31Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.6209335398$1.9k
04-03 17:06Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.8080007997$39.95
04-03 17:02Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.35$3.36
04-03 16:59Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group StageBUY0.3063859776$8.12
04-03 16:58Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group StageBUY0.2265253648$6.22