0xae9ff2527c36455270c87c2320c96457b5946b25
0xae9ff2527c36455270c87c2320c96457b5946b25
- Realised P&L
- $-96.51
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $0.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-10-12? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$19.09 |
| Will Malmo FF win on 2026-10-12? · No | 0.440 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$19.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.02at 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$15.98at 0.672Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
- +$14.83at 0.598Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
- +$13.48at 0.618Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
- +$13.12at 0.409Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 11:17 | Will Malmo FF win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.4399999855 | $9.69 |
| 10-12 11:17 | Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.209999998 | $9.57 |
| 10-12 11:17 | Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.209999998 | $9.57 |
| 10-12 10:25 | Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.5099999832 | $9.73 |
| 10-12 10:23 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $32.36 |
| 10-12 10:13 | Will Malmo FF win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.4399999855 | $9.69 |
| 10-12 09:46 | Panthers vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.5 | $2.02 |
| 10-12 09:41 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.35 | $21.18 |
| 10-12 09:40 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.25 | $15.13 |
| 10-12 09:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? | SELL | 0.971 | $9.64 |
| 10-12 09:20 | Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.239999996 | $9.59 |
| 10-12 09:20 | Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.239999996 | $9.59 |
| 10-12 09:19 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.26 | $18.82 |
| 10-12 09:19 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.7399999975 | $23.97 |
| 10-12 09:15 | Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.5099999832 | $9.73 |