PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flaneur22

0xae9df4ba1eb45ff3bcb42606a22ad473f210abe7

Realised P&L
$5.5k
Volume
$176.7k
Markets traded
159
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded159
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4710.565$3.8k+$626.03
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.3080.300$666.07−$17.90
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? · Yes0.2890.045$91.80−$490.52
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · Yes0.2290.046$43.71−$174.26
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.064$5.33−$45.07
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2570.000$0.00−$287.48
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$100.00
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B · Xtreme Gaming0.8300.000$0.00−$207.49
Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1930.000$0.00−$5.22
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes0.7420.000$0.00−$571.29
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00−$22.80
Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs0.4600.000$0.00−$41.40
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$156.33
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$108.00
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5 · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$49.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 12:32Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?BUY0.098$50.89
10-21 12:31Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.33$121.44
10-20 15:57Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.2996969697$49.45
10-20 14:24Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.2671669431$38.66
10-20 08:23Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.24$44.35
10-18 10:54Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.32$91.13
10-16 18:25Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.43$16.68
10-16 18:15Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.42$4.20
09-27 15:48Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?BUY0.5$404.17
09-27 15:46Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8970814069$153.28
09-27 15:45Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8647207812$113.35
09-27 11:10Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8377777778$75.40
09-26 07:41Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.68$26.52
09-26 07:40Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8567360258$265.16
09-24 13:34Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?BUY0.4623513781$98.13