flaneur22
0xae9df4ba1eb45ff3bcb42606a22ad473f210abe7
- Realised P&L
- $5.5k
- Volume
- $176.7k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.558Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch
- +$1.2kat 0.421Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.416Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
- +$437.87at 0.428Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026?
- +$395.99at 0.435Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 12:32 | Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | BUY | 0.098 | $50.89 |
| 10-21 12:31 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $121.44 |
| 10-20 15:57 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.2996969697 | $49.45 |
| 10-20 14:24 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.2671669431 | $38.66 |
| 10-20 08:23 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $44.35 |
| 10-18 10:54 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $91.13 |
| 10-16 18:25 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $16.68 |
| 10-16 18:15 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 09-27 15:48 | Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $404.17 |
| 09-27 15:46 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8970814069 | $153.28 |
| 09-27 15:45 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8647207812 | $113.35 |
| 09-27 11:10 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8377777778 | $75.40 |
| 09-26 07:41 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $26.52 |
| 09-26 07:40 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8567360258 | $265.16 |
| 09-24 13:34 | Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | BUY | 0.4623513781 | $98.13 |