PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SorryMaker.

0xae9ca402f6a711f08f07394e4e9a793e10104d29

Realised P&L
$128.06
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
194
Open portfolio
$39.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded194
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 22? · Yes0.3990.983$39.32+$23.37
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 22? · Yes0.1700.007$0.30−$6.50
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 9? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00−$6.11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 5? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$6.01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 3? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27? · Yes0.3970.000$0.00−$28.18
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on October 3? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 16? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00−$2.73
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 2? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$2.02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 28? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 17? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$2.38
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4? · Yes0.1470.000$0.00−$6.91
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 8? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.05
Honor of Kings: Weibo Gaming vs TOP Esports Armor (BO5) - King Pro League Grand Finals Group Stage · TOP Esports Armor0.6100.000$0.00−$13.65
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 21? · Yes0.3820.000$0.00−$6.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 07:00Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20?SELL0.999$16.88
10-22 06:09Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 22?SELL0.362144$9.05
10-22 05:31Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 22?BUY0.62$3.10
10-22 05:30Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 22?BUY0.62691$12.54
10-22 02:23Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 22?BUY0.17$6.80
10-22 02:23Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 22?BUY0.39875$15.95
10-20 04:18Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?SELL0.256$2.56
10-20 04:04Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20?BUY0.078$0.78
10-20 02:39Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20?BUY0.559$5.59
10-20 02:26Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20?BUY0.591$2.96
10-20 01:54Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20?BUY0.634$64.60
10-19 08:22Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 19?SELL0.5336300175$21.40
10-19 08:16Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?SELL0.7031782066$30.98
10-19 07:25Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?BUY0.56$2.80
10-19 07:25Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19?BUY0.55$0.25