SorryMaker.
0xae9ca402f6a711f08f07394e4e9a793e10104d29
- Realised P&L
- $128.06
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $39.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.56at 0.576Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 7?
- +$42.27at 0.637Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20?
- +$40.61at 0.323Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?
- +$36.56at 0.589Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 27?
- +$30.66at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.88 |
| 10-22 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.362144 | $9.05 |
| 10-22 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-22 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.62691 | $12.54 |
| 10-22 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.80 |
| 10-22 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.39875 | $15.95 |
| 10-20 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20? | SELL | 0.256 | $2.56 |
| 10-20 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.078 | $0.78 |
| 10-20 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.559 | $5.59 |
| 10-20 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.591 | $2.96 |
| 10-20 01:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.634 | $64.60 |
| 10-19 08:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.5336300175 | $21.40 |
| 10-19 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.7031782066 | $30.98 |
| 10-19 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 10-19 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.55 | $0.25 |