mrcrypto1989
0xae9af79caf1d68c3de7892da2f3edce26453f96e
- Realised P&L
- $-261.14
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $35.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.78at 0.397Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 27?
- +$21.13at 0.415Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 27?
- +$20.27at 0.338Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 7?
- +$12.27at 0.473Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 21?
- +$6.51at 0.602Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 18:12 | Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.26 | $6.37 |
| 05-08 14:16 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 00:40 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.5899999878 | $9.66 |
| 05-08 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.116217273 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.1910803684 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 00:37 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.3445085131 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 00:36 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 8? | BUY | 0.3516792685 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.2587545135 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 00:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.4764078747 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 00:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 00:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.0028252312 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 00:29 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 05-07 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 7? | BUY | 0.2077922078 | $8.00 |
| 05-07 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 7? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 05-07 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 7? | BUY | 0.3267326577 | $10.00 |