jzurbrotha19
0xae96d43dbc8afa4ba471a50bb0bd81021a7b0ebb
- Realised P&L
- $-79.97
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $141.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.924 | $54.38 | +$4.38 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31? · Yes | 0.870 | 1.000 | $22.99 | +$2.99 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.165 | $18.33 | −$1.67 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.430 | $17.55 | −$2.45 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.630 | $15.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.235 | $13.43 | −$6.57 |
| Pistons vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.59at 0.770Will Cameroon vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$26.03at 0.730Will Mali vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$15.14at 0.370US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
- +$11.87at 0.610Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$10.83at 0.480Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 13:28 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.839999995 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 11:32 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 15:47 | Pistons vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 15:46 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 15:46 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 15:44 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 15:44 | Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.4899999944 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 15:43 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 15:40 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.992 | $15.74 |
| 06-30 17:07 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 17:07 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.091 | $0.45 |
| 06-30 17:07 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.6449999903 | $5.00 |
| 05-01 16:10 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 04-24 00:35 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 04-15 15:24 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.89 |